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Abstract -- Astrology ranges from the trivial to the profound. Today,
for the first time in twenty centuries, we can answer most questions
about astrology. Few people are aware of this revolution in our
understanding, hence this website. The answers are often bad news for
astrology. But there is more to astrology than being true or false.
Profound vs trivial astrology
Astrology, from the Greek astron, star, and logos, discourse, is the
study (generally nonscientific) of supposed relationships between the
heavens and human affairs. It has nothing to do with astronomy, the
scientific study of celestial objects. Astrology takes two forms. One is
the serious and profound astrology of journals and consulting rooms. The
other is the popular but trivial entertainment of sun sign astrology
columns and phone lines. They are not the same. Both forms are addressed
on this website.
The research revolution
Astrologers say the heavens reflect our destiny from the cradle to the
grave. Could this be true? The question has been furiously debated for
more than twenty centuries, but an answer has been possible only since
the 1970s, when advances in relevant areas (astronomy, psychology,
statistics, research design) and a decisive technology (personal
computers) led to a revolution in scientific research into astrology.
Not to be confused with what astrologers traditionally call "research",
the uncritical examination of birth charts.
Hundreds of empirical studies
Before 1950 almost no empirical studies of astrology existed. But by
2000 over one hundred had appeared in psychology journals and four
hundred in astrology journals, equivalent to about 200 man-years of
scientific research. For 91 typical studies see Research results and for
overviews see Meta-analyses, both under Doing Scientific Research. The
findings have been clear and consistent whether obtained by astrologers
or by scientists -- astrology has not contributed to human knowledge, it
has failed hundreds of tests, it has no acceptable mechanism other than
hidden persuaders (see below), and users do not usefully agree on basics
such as which zodiac to use or even on what a given birth chart
indicates. Today, for the first time in twenty centuries, we can say
with some certainty that no, the heavens do not reflect our destiny.
Hidden persuaders
And astrology is easy to explain. Users do not guard against hidden
persuaders (reasoning errors and statistical artifacts, see Artifacts in
reasoning under Doing Scientific Research), which is why an actually
invalid astrology seems to work, why users can accept erroneous
conclusions as true, and why scientists tend to see astrologers as
hopelessly uninformed. That astrologers are in fact mostly nice people
who genuinely wish to help others does not excuse their being
uninformed. Nevertheless there is more to astrology than being true or
false, see Case for and against astrology under Adroit Utilities.
Astrology should be neither lightly embraced nor lightly dismissed.
Keeping up to date
Few people are aware of the above revolution in our understanding of
astrology. It is almost never mentioned in astrology books or on
astrology websites. So the present website was started in July 2000 by
former astrologer Rudolf H Smit from Zwolle in the Netherlands. The aim
is to provide readable articles on scientific research into astrology
that are also sensitive to astrology's merits. All articles have two
levels of abstract to save your time, and all articles are in plain
English. Just browse the home page.
Please email us!
We invite your comments, especially suggestions for improving this
website. To email us see Site philosophy under Adroit Utilities on the
home page. Your emails will be acknowledged. Many thanks!
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